Ligue 1 — Algeria
Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.24) 1.05 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 28.2% 30.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
MC Oran
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 10.0% 10.5% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.1% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSM AlgerMC Oran
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%56%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USM Alger MC Oran
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins33%38%36%50%33%43%
Draws67%50%57%50%0%29%
Loses0%13%7%0%67%29%

Form: USM Alger: DWDLDDWWDDWDWD • MC Oran: WLDWLWLDWWWDLD

League goals

Metric USM Alger MC Oran
HATHAT
GF total7101710717
GF avg1.21.31.21.31.21.2
GA total47114812
GA avg0.70.90.80.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSM AlgerMC Oran
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%64%64%
1.536%14%43%14%
2.57%0%14%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSM AlgerMC Oran
HATHAT
Clean sheets325415
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricUSM AlgerMC Oran
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricUSM AlgerMC Oran
Wins23
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses—1-0—2-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricUSM AlgerMC Oran
Form53%47%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : USM Alger or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away5.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USM Alger = 1.26 (league 1.24), MC Oran = 1.05 (league 0.80)

MC Oran
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 10.0% 10.5% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.1% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 30.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1