National 1 — France
Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 16:30 • Stade Michel d'Ornano
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.35) 0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 35.8% 43.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.4%
0 - 1
21.0%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Dijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 22.4% 21.0% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 11.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaenDijon
Played44
Form58%67%
Attack33%39%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caen Dijon
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%50%25%50%50%50%
Loses50%0%25%0%0%0%

Form: Caen: WDLW • Dijon: WDDW

League goals

Metric Caen Dijon
HATHAT
GF total336527
GF avg1.51.51.52.51.01.8
GA total224314
GA avg1.01.01.01.50.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaenDijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%75%
1.550%25%50%25%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaenDijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricCaenDijon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCaenDijon
Wins11
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-21-2
Biggest losses0-2———
Goals For3242
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricCaenDijon
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dijon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Caen = 0.56 (league 1.35), Dijon = 0.94 (league 1.07)

Dijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 22.4% 21.0% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 11.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 43.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1