Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 16:00 • Stade Robert Diochon
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.35) 0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 18.8% 14.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rouen 0 4.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRouenChateauroux
Played44
Form67%25%
Attack44%25%
Defense75%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rouen Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%50%50%0%0%0%
Draws50%50%50%67%100%75%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%25%

Form: Rouen: DDWW • Chateauroux: DDDL

League goals

Metric Rouen Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total347224
GF avg1.52.01.80.72.01.0
GA total134325
GA avg0.51.51.01.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRouenChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%50%75%
1.550%25%50%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRouenChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricRouenChateauroux
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRouenChateauroux
Wins00
Draws23
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-3
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricRouenChateauroux
Form73%27%
Att64%36%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h64%36%
Goals80%20%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Double chance : Rouen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Fonbet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rouen = 2.23 (league 1.35), Chateauroux = 0.94 (league 1.07)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rouen 0 4.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 14.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1