National 1 — France
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Guy Piriou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.35) 0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.0% 34.8% 40.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
18.8%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Fleury 91
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 20.1% 18.8% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConcarneauFleury 91
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack55%73%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Concarneau Fleury 91
HATHAT
Played145235
Wins100%25%40%50%33%40%
Draws0%50%40%0%33%20%
Loses0%25%20%50%33%40%

Form: Concarneau: DWDWL • Fleury 91: DWLLW

League goals

Metric Concarneau Fleury 91
HATHAT
GF total336538
GF avg3.00.81.22.51.01.6
GA total156314
GA avg1.01.31.21.50.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConcarneauFleury 91
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%60%60%
1.540%20%40%20%
2.520%20%40%0%
3.50%20%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConcarneauFleury 91
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricConcarneauFleury 91
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricConcarneauFleury 91
Wins11
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-10-3
Biggest losses—4-01-21-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against1421

Model comparison

MetricConcarneauFleury 91
Form53%47%
Att43%57%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Concarneau or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Concarneau = 0.67 (league 1.35), Fleury 91 = 0.94 (league 1.07)

Fleury 91
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 20.1% 18.8% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.0% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 40.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1