Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Pelé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.32) 1.93 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.0% 22.0% 54.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gobelins 0 4.6% 9.0% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGobelinsChateauroux
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack45%73%
Defense9%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gobelins Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%0%33%0%50%17%
Draws0%0%0%75%50%67%
Loses33%100%67%25%0%17%

Form: Gobelins: WLWLLL • Chateauroux: DDDLWD

League goals

Metric Gobelins Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total336448
GF avg1.01.01.01.02.01.3
GA total3710538
GA avg1.02.31.71.31.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGobelinsChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%83%
1.517%50%67%50%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGobelinsChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricGobelinsChateauroux
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGobelinsChateauroux
Wins11
Draws03
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-2
Biggest losses1-34-20-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricGobelinsChateauroux
Form33%67%
Att38%62%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chateauroux

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gobelins = 1.14 (league 1.32), Chateauroux = 1.93 (league 1.03)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gobelins 0 4.6% 9.0% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 54.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1