Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Robert Diochon
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.35) 0.47 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 14.0% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.3%
1 - 0
13.5%
3 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Orleans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rouen 0 5.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRouenOrleans
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%45%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rouen Orleans
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%67%50%50%50%50%
Draws33%33%33%25%0%17%
Loses33%0%17%25%50%33%

Form: Rouen: DDWWLW • Orleans: LLWWDW

League goals

Metric Rouen Orleans
HATHAT
GF total4711516
GF avg1.32.31.81.30.51.0
GA total336459
GA avg1.01.01.01.02.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRouenOrleans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%83%67%
1.550%33%17%33%
2.550%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRouenOrleans
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricRouenOrleans
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRouenOrleans
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-21-25-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricRouenOrleans
Form50%50%
Att69%31%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Winner : Rouen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Dafabet
Draw3.15 @ Marathonbet
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rouen = 2.41 (league 1.35), Orleans = 0.47 (league 1.07)

Orleans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rouen 0 5.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1