National 1 — France
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Gaston Petit
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.33) 1.57 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 25.3% 56.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Caen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 9.8% 15.4% 12.1% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.6% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChateaurouxCaen
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack88%38%
Defense13%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chateauroux Caen
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins0%33%14%25%33%29%
Draws75%67%71%50%67%57%
Loses25%0%14%25%0%14%

Form: Chateauroux: DDDLWDD • Caen: WDLWDDD

League goals

Metric Chateauroux Caen
HATHAT
GF total459347
GF avg1.01.71.30.81.31.0
GA total549235
GA avg1.31.31.30.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChateaurouxCaen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%57%
1.557%43%29%14%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChateaurouxCaen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score202303

Penalties

MetricChateaurouxCaen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChateaurouxCaen
Wins11
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-1—0-2—
Goals For2232
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricChateaurouxCaen
Form50%50%
Att70%30%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h64%36%
Goals54%46%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Chateauroux or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chateauroux = 0.75 (league 1.33), Caen = 1.57 (league 1.08)

Caen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 9.8% 15.4% 12.1% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.6% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 56.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1