Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Gaston-Gérard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.35) 0.75 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.0% 24.4% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Concarneau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon 0 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDijonConcarneau
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack63%75%
Defense63%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dijon Concarneau
HATHAT
Played336246
Wins33%33%33%50%25%33%
Draws67%67%67%0%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%25%33%

Form: Dijon: WDDWDD • Concarneau: DWDWLL

League goals

Metric Dijon Concarneau
HATHAT
GF total527336
GF avg1.70.71.21.50.81.0
GA total314257
GA avg1.00.30.71.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDijonConcarneau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%67%
1.533%17%33%17%
2.517%0%17%17%
3.517%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDijonConcarneau
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricDijonConcarneau
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricDijonConcarneau
Wins11
Draws21
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-14-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2114

Model comparison

MetricDijonConcarneau
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Dijon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dijon = 1.64 (league 1.35), Concarneau = 0.75 (league 1.07)

Concarneau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon 0 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1