National 1 — France
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Robert Bobin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.33) 0.98 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.7% 17.2% 13.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fleury 91 0 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.0% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFleury 91Aubagne
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack100%88%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fleury 91 Aubagne
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins50%50%50%33%33%33%
Draws0%25%17%67%33%50%
Loses50%25%33%0%33%17%

Form: Fleury 91: DWLLWW • Aubagne: LWDDWD

League goals

Metric Fleury 91 Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total549527
GF avg2.51.01.51.70.71.2
GA total314347
GA avg1.50.30.71.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFleury 91Aubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%67%83%
1.533%17%33%17%
2.533%0%17%17%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFleury 91Aubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets033011
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricFleury 91Aubagne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFleury 91Aubagne
Wins11
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-21-0—3-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricFleury 91Aubagne
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Fleury 91 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away4.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fleury 91 = 2.43 (league 1.33), Aubagne = 0.98 (league 1.08)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fleury 91 0 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.0% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.7% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1