National 1 — France
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:30 • Stade du Hainaut
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.33) 0.60 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 20.5% 10.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Villefranche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenciennes 0 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 9.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenciennesVillefranche
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack63%50%
Defense13%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valenciennes Villefranche
HATHAT
Played347426
Wins67%0%29%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%29%25%50%33%
Loses33%50%43%25%50%33%

Form: Valenciennes: DWLLLWD • Villefranche: DLWLDW

League goals

Metric Valenciennes Villefranche
HATHAT
GF total527314
GF avg1.70.51.00.80.50.7
GA total448437
GA avg1.31.01.11.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenciennesVillefranche
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%50%50%
1.529%43%17%33%
2.50%14%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenciennesVillefranche
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricValenciennesVillefranche
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricValenciennesVillefranche
Wins11
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-1—
Biggest losses2-32-10-33-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricValenciennesVillefranche
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h88%13%
Goals80%20%
Total64.3%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Valenciennes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away4.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valenciennes = 1.91 (league 1.33), Villefranche = 0.60 (league 1.08)

Villefranche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenciennes 0 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 9.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 10.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1