Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:30 • Stade de Lattre de Tassigny
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.36) 0.66 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 44.9% 36.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.6%
0 - 1
23.4%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 35.6% 23.4% 7.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.4% 8.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAubagneDijon
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack46%54%
Defense77%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aubagne Dijon
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%50%33%43%
Draws67%25%43%50%67%57%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: Aubagne: LWDDWDW • Dijon: WDDWDDW

League goals

Metric Aubagne Dijon
HATHAT
GF total5498210
GF avg1.71.01.32.00.71.4
GA total347314
GA avg1.01.01.00.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAubagneDijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%57%43%
1.543%14%43%14%
2.514%14%29%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAubagneDijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricAubagneDijon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAubagneDijon
Wins11
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-01-2
Biggest losses3-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricAubagneDijon
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h13%88%
Goals40%60%
Total38.2%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dijon and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aubagne = 0.38 (league 1.36), Dijon = 0.66 (league 1.07)

Dijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 35.6% 23.4% 7.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.4% 8.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 44.9% · Away win 36.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1