National 1 — France
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Michel d'Ornano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.31) 0.59 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 38.3% 24.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.1%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Le Puy Foot
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 25.1% 14.8% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaenLe Puy Foot
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack31%38%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caen Le Puy Foot
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%25%25%0%33%13%
Draws50%50%50%60%33%50%
Loses25%25%25%40%33%38%

Form: Caen: WDLWDDDL • Le Puy Foot: LLDDDLWD

League goals

Metric Caen Le Puy Foot
HATHAT
GF total358448
GF avg0.81.31.00.81.31.0
GA total2578412
GA avg0.51.30.91.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaenLe Puy Foot
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%75%100%
1.525%25%25%38%
2.513%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaenLe Puy Foot
HATHAT
Clean sheets303000
Failed to score303202

Penalties

MetricCaenLe Puy Foot
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCaenLe Puy Foot
Wins11
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-32-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricCaenLe Puy Foot
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Caen or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away4.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Caen = 0.79 (league 1.31), Le Puy Foot = 0.59 (league 1.10)

Le Puy Foot
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 25.1% 14.8% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1