Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Guy Piriou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.35) 1.22 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 25.8% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sochaux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 6.9% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.3% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConcarneauSochaux
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack31%54%
Defense23%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Concarneau Sochaux
HATHAT
Played257347
Wins50%20%29%67%50%57%
Draws0%40%29%33%0%14%
Loses50%40%43%0%50%29%

Form: Concarneau: DWDWLLL • Sochaux: WWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Concarneau Sochaux
HATHAT
GF total3368513
GF avg1.50.60.92.71.31.9
GA total2810156
GA avg1.01.61.40.31.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConcarneauSochaux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%86%57%
1.529%29%43%14%
2.514%29%29%14%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConcarneauSochaux
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricConcarneauSochaux
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricConcarneauSochaux
Wins12
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-01-3
Biggest losses0-14-03-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against1413

Model comparison

MetricConcarneauSochaux
Form36%64%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total36.3%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sochaux

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Concarneau = 1.45 (league 1.35), Sochaux = 1.22 (league 1.07)

Sochaux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 6.9% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.3% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 31.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1