National 1 — France
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Armand Chouffet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.33) 1.58 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.4% 25.2% 55.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 9.4% 14.9% 11.8% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.6% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.9% 4.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillefrancheChateauroux
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack23%54%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villefranche Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played437538
Wins50%0%29%20%33%25%
Draws25%33%29%60%67%63%
Loses25%67%43%20%0%13%

Form: Villefranche: DLWLDWL • Chateauroux: DDDLWDDW

League goals

Metric Villefranche Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total3146511
GF avg0.80.30.61.21.71.4
GA total4596410
GA avg1.01.71.31.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillefrancheChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%75%88%
1.514%43%63%38%
2.50%29%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillefrancheChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricVillefrancheChateauroux
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVillefrancheChateauroux
Wins11
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-1—
Goals For2122
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricVillefrancheChateauroux
Form47%53%
Att30%70%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chateauroux

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villefranche = 0.78 (league 1.33), Chateauroux = 1.58 (league 1.08)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 9.4% 14.9% 11.8% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.6% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.9% 4.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 55.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1