Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Gaston-Gérard
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.35) 1.05 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 20.6% 18.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Quevilly
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon 0 4.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDijonQuevilly
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack62%62%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dijon Quevilly
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins50%25%38%0%40%25%
Draws50%75%63%67%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%33%60%50%

Form: Dijon: WDDWDDWD • Quevilly: LDLLLWWD

League goals

Metric Dijon Quevilly
HATHAT
GF total83113710
GF avg2.00.81.41.01.41.3
GA total3254711
GA avg0.80.50.61.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDijonQuevilly
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%88%88%
1.538%13%25%38%
2.525%0%13%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDijonQuevilly
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricDijonQuevilly
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricDijonQuevilly
Wins12
Draws21
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-20-3
Biggest losses1-23-1
Goals For4213
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricDijonQuevilly
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h25%75%
Goals41%59%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Dijon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away6.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dijon = 2.08 (league 1.35), Quevilly = 1.05 (league 1.07)

Quevilly
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon 0 4.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1