Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:30 • Stade de la Source
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.36) 1.46 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 24.3% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Caen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orleans 0 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.6% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrleansCaen
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack54%31%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orleans Caen
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%25%44%40%25%33%
Draws20%25%22%40%50%44%
Loses20%50%33%20%25%22%

Form: Orleans: LLWWDWLWD • Caen: WDLWDDDLW

League goals

Metric Orleans Caen
HATHAT
GF total83115510
GF avg1.60.81.21.01.31.1
GA total6814257
GA avg1.22.01.60.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrleansCaen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%67%56%
1.533%44%33%22%
2.511%11%11%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrleansCaen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112404
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricOrleansCaen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOrleansCaen
Wins21
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-13-01-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-22-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricOrleansCaen
Form57%43%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h9%91%
Goals27%73%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Caen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betfair
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orleans = 1.54 (league 1.36), Caen = 1.46 (league 1.07)

Caen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orleans 0 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.6% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 35.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1