National 1 — France
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Auguste-Bonal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.29) 0.28 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.4% 15.7% 3.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
19.6%
3 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sochaux 0 9.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.6% 5.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.5% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 3.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSochauxAubagne
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack46%46%
Defense69%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sochaux Aubagne
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%40%50%25%50%38%
Draws33%0%13%75%25%50%
Loses0%60%38%0%25%13%

Form: Sochaux: WWLWWDLL • Aubagne: LWDDWDWD

League goals

Metric Sochaux Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total85136410
GF avg2.71.01.61.51.01.3
GA total167448
GA avg0.31.20.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSochauxAubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%75%75%
1.538%13%38%13%
2.525%13%13%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSochauxAubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricSochauxAubagne
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSochauxAubagne
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-33-10-2
Biggest losses—3-1—3-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricSochauxAubagne
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sochaux or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away4.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sochaux = 2.09 (league 1.29), Aubagne = 0.28 (league 1.08)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sochaux 0 9.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.6% 5.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.5% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 3.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.4% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1