National 1 — France
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:30 • Stade du Hainaut
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.35) 0.56 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.8% 17.6% 8.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Concarneau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenciennes 0 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.4% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenciennesConcarneau
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack46%31%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valenciennes Concarneau
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins75%0%38%67%20%38%
Draws0%50%25%0%40%25%
Loses25%50%38%33%40%38%

Form: Valenciennes: DWLLLWDW • Concarneau: DWDWLLLW

League goals

Metric Valenciennes Concarneau
HATHAT
GF total729437
GF avg1.80.51.11.30.60.9
GA total4482810
GA avg1.01.01.00.71.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenciennesConcarneau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%50%63%
1.538%38%25%25%
2.50%13%13%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenciennesConcarneau
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricValenciennesConcarneau
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricValenciennesConcarneau
Wins11
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-10-2
Biggest losses2-32-10-14-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against3214

Model comparison

MetricValenciennesConcarneau
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Valenciennes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.78 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valenciennes = 2.14 (league 1.35), Concarneau = 0.56 (league 1.07)

Concarneau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenciennes 0 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.4% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1