Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 17:30 • Stade de Lattre de Tassigny
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.35) 0.47 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 32.7% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
0 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 20.5% 9.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAubagneValenciennes
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack43%36%
Defense64%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aubagne Valenciennes
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%60%0%33%
Draws75%20%44%0%50%22%
Loses0%40%22%40%50%44%

Form: Aubagne: LWDDWDWDL • Valenciennes: DWLLLWDWL

League goals

Metric Aubagne Valenciennes
HATHAT
GF total64108210
GF avg1.50.81.11.60.51.1
GA total46106410
GA avg1.01.21.11.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAubagneValenciennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%78%56%
1.533%22%33%44%
2.511%11%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAubagneValenciennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score033022

Penalties

MetricAubagneValenciennes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAubagneValenciennes
Wins11
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-0
Biggest losses3-02-32-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricAubagneValenciennes
Form53%47%
Att55%45%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Valenciennes and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aubagne = 1.11 (league 1.35), Valenciennes = 0.47 (league 1.07)

Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 20.5% 9.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1