Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Michel d'Ornano
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.35) 0.75 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 39.1% 35.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rouen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 26.1% 19.6% 7.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 11.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaenRouen
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack36%64%
Defense64%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caen Rouen
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%20%30%67%75%70%
Draws40%40%40%17%25%20%
Loses20%40%30%17%0%10%

Form: Caen: WDLWDDDLWL • Rouen: DDWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Caen Rouen
HATHAT
GF total56119817
GF avg1.01.21.11.52.01.7
GA total279336
GA avg0.41.40.90.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaenRouen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%90%40%
1.530%30%40%20%
2.510%0%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaenRouen
HATHAT
Clean sheets404426
Failed to score303101

Penalties

MetricCaenRouen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCaenRouen
Wins12
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-2
Goals For3233
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricCaenRouen
Form25%75%
Att36%64%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rouen and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caen = 0.59 (league 1.35), Rouen = 0.75 (league 1.07)

Rouen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 26.1% 19.6% 7.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 11.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 39.1% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1