Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Guy Piriou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.35) 0.98 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 26.5% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 8.8% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConcarneauChateauroux
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack21%57%
Defense36%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Concarneau Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins67%33%44%20%25%22%
Draws0%33%22%60%50%56%
Loses33%33%33%20%25%22%

Form: Concarneau: DWDWLLLWW • Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWL

League goals

Metric Concarneau Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total4596612
GF avg1.30.81.01.21.51.3
GA total29116612
GA avg0.71.51.21.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConcarneauChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%78%89%
1.533%22%56%44%
2.511%22%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConcarneauChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score134202

Penalties

MetricConcarneauChateauroux
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricConcarneauChateauroux
Wins11
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-14-00-12-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricConcarneauChateauroux
Form43%57%
Att27%73%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : Concarneau or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Unibet
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away4.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Concarneau = 1.45 (league 1.35), Chateauroux = 0.98 (league 1.07)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 8.8% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1