National 1 — France
Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Gaston Petit
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.33) 0.89 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 30.9% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 13.9% 12.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChateaurouxAubagne
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack50%42%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chateauroux Aubagne
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%20%40%30%
Draws60%60%60%80%20%50%
Loses20%20%20%0%40%20%

Form: Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLD • Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLD

League goals

Metric Chateauroux Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total66127411
GF avg1.21.21.21.40.81.1
GA total66125611
GA avg1.21.21.21.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChateaurouxAubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%70%80%
1.550%40%30%20%
2.50%0%10%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChateaurouxAubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score213033

Penalties

MetricChateaurouxAubagne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChateaurouxAubagne
Wins11
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—3-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricChateaurouxAubagne
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals24%76%
Total45.4%54.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aubagne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chateauroux = 1.08 (league 1.33), Aubagne = 0.89 (league 1.08)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 13.9% 12.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1