National 1 — France
Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 18:30 • Stade de Lattre de Tassigny
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.33) 0.93 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 25.3% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Le Puy Foot
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.9% 12.0% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAubagneLe Puy Foot
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack58%58%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aubagne Le Puy Foot
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins20%50%36%14%25%18%
Draws80%17%45%57%25%45%
Loses0%33%18%29%50%36%

Form: Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDW • Le Puy Foot: LLDDDLWDLWD

League goals

Metric Aubagne Le Puy Foot
HATHAT
GF total77148412
GF avg1.41.21.31.11.01.1
GA total56119615
GA avg1.01.01.01.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAubagneLe Puy Foot
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%73%91%
1.536%18%27%36%
2.518%9%9%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAubagneLe Puy Foot
HATHAT
Clean sheets033101
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricAubagneLe Puy Foot
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAubagneLe Puy Foot
Wins11
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-01-2
Biggest losses—3-00-32-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricAubagneLe Puy Foot
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h88%13%
Goals80%20%
Total64.2%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Aubagne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aubagne = 1.57 (league 1.33), Le Puy Foot = 0.93 (league 1.08)

Le Puy Foot
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.9% 12.0% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1