National 1 — France
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Michel d'Ornano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.29) 0.37 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 38.2% 14.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.0%
1 - 0
25.3%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 28.0% 10.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaenBourg-en-bresse 01
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack42%50%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caen Bourg-en-bresse 01
HATHAT
Played76136612
Wins29%17%23%0%17%8%
Draws57%50%54%33%33%33%
Loses14%33%23%67%50%58%

Form: Caen: WDLWDDDLWLDDD • Bourg-en-bresse 01: DLDDLLLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Caen Bourg-en-bresse 01
HATHAT
GF total6713369
GF avg0.91.21.00.51.00.8
GA total381110818
GA avg0.41.30.81.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaenBourg-en-bresse 01
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%62%50%92%
1.523%23%25%50%
2.58%0%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaenBourg-en-bresse 01
HATHAT
Clean sheets505101
Failed to score404426

Penalties

MetricCaenBourg-en-bresse 01
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCaenBourg-en-bresse 01
Wins11
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-32-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricCaenBourg-en-bresse 01
Form60%40%
Att45%55%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Caen or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away5.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caen = 0.90 (league 1.29), Bourg-en-bresse 01 = 0.37 (league 1.08)

Bourg-en-bresse 01
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 28.0% 10.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1