National 1 — France
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 18:30 • Stade de la Source
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.33) 1.34 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 26.3% 38.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orleans 0 7.3% 9.8% 6.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.5% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrleansAubagne
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack75%50%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orleans Aubagne
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%17%50%33%
Draws17%17%17%67%17%42%
Loses17%50%33%17%33%25%

Form: Orleans: LLWWDWLWDWWL • Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDWL

League goals

Metric Orleans Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total105158715
GF avg1.70.81.31.31.21.3
GA total712199615
GA avg1.22.01.61.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrleansAubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%75%75%
1.542%42%33%25%
2.58%17%17%17%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrleansAubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets112033
Failed to score033033

Penalties

MetricOrleansAubagne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOrleansAubagne
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-23-10-3
Biggest losses1-25-01-43-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricOrleansAubagne
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Orleans or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orleans = 1.27 (league 1.33), Aubagne = 1.34 (league 1.08)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orleans 0 7.3% 9.8% 6.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.5% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 38.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1