National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 18:30 • Stade de Lattre de Tassigny
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.31) 2.45 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.1% 16.0% 70.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.7%
0 - 3
9.6%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rouen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 3.9% 9.5% 11.7% 9.6% 5.9% 2.9%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.3% 7.6% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAubagneRouen
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack90%70%
Defense10%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aubagne Rouen
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins17%57%38%63%60%62%
Draws67%14%38%25%40%31%
Loses17%29%23%13%0%8%

Form: Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDWLW • Rouen: DDWWLWWWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Aubagne Rouen
HATHAT
GF total8111911920
GF avg1.31.61.51.41.81.5
GA total9817448
GA avg1.51.11.30.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAubagneRouen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%85%46%
1.538%31%38%15%
2.523%15%31%0%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAubagneRouen
HATHAT
Clean sheets033527
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricAubagneRouen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAubagneRouen
Wins15
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-2—
Goals For3433
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricAubagneRouen
Form39%61%
Att56%44%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total42.6%57.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rouen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aubagne = 0.79 (league 1.31), Rouen = 2.45 (league 1.10)

Rouen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 3.9% 9.5% 11.7% 9.6% 5.9% 2.9%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.3% 7.6% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 70.0%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1