National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Gaston-Gérard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.29) 0.52 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 25.1% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
2 - 0
15.2%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon 0 12.7% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.7% 10.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDijonValenciennes
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack90%50%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dijon Valenciennes
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%57%54%57%0%31%
Draws33%43%38%0%67%31%
Loses17%0%8%43%33%38%

Form: Dijon: WDDWDDWDWWLWW • Valenciennes: DWLLLWDWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Dijon Valenciennes
HATHAT
GF total1282010414
GF avg2.01.11.51.40.71.1
GA total5388614
GA avg0.80.40.61.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDijonValenciennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%54%77%62%
1.546%8%31%38%
2.523%0%0%8%
3.515%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDijonValenciennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets246325
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricDijonValenciennes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricDijonValenciennes
Wins21
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-0—
Biggest losses0-1—0-22-1
Goals For4221
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricDijonValenciennes
Form71%29%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Dijon or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Unibet
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away4.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dijon = 1.55 (league 1.29), Valenciennes = 0.52 (league 1.08)

Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon 0 12.7% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.7% 10.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1