National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Armand Chouffet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.31) 1.20 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 27.1% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Caen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 8.3% 10.0% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillefrancheCaen
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack50%40%
Defense10%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villefranche Caen
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins57%0%29%38%17%29%
Draws14%14%14%50%50%50%
Loses29%86%57%13%33%21%

Form: Villefranche: DLWLDWLWLLLLWL • Caen: WDLWDDDLWLDDDW

League goals

Metric Villefranche Caen
HATHAT
GF total93127714
GF avg1.30.40.90.91.21.0
GA total813213811
GA avg1.11.91.50.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillefrancheCaen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%79%71%57%
1.521%50%21%21%
2.57%21%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillefrancheCaen
HATHAT
Clean sheets213606
Failed to score246404

Penalties

MetricVillefrancheCaen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVillefrancheCaen
Wins11
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-22-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricVillefrancheCaen
Form33%67%
Att56%44%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Caen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villefranche = 1.29 (league 1.31), Caen = 1.20 (league 1.10)

Caen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 8.3% 10.0% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1