National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Gaston Petit
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.31) 1.70 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.1% 21.4% 71.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.9%
0 - 2
19.5%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Dijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 13.5% 22.9% 19.5% 11.0% 4.7% 1.6%
1 4.1% 7.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
2 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChateaurouxDijon
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack36%82%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chateauroux Dijon
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%29%21%57%57%57%
Draws43%57%50%29%43%36%
Loses43%14%29%14%0%7%

Form: Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLDLWLD • Dijon: WDDWDDWDWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Chateauroux Dijon
HATHAT
GF total791616824
GF avg1.01.31.12.31.11.7
GA total12618639
GA avg1.70.91.30.90.40.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChateaurouxDijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%71%57%
1.543%43%50%7%
2.57%14%29%0%
3.50%0%21%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChateaurouxDijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets134246
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricChateaurouxDijon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricChateaurouxDijon
Wins12
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-1—
Goals For2342
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricChateaurouxDijon
Form29%71%
Att31%69%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h62%38%
Goals47%53%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dijon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ Betfair
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chateauroux = 0.30 (league 1.31), Dijon = 1.70 (league 1.10)

Dijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 13.5% 22.9% 19.5% 11.0% 4.7% 1.6%
1 4.1% 7.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
2 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.1% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 71.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2