National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Pelé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.29) 0.66 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 26.0% 16.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Concarneau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gobelins 0 11.4% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.2% 11.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGobelinsConcarneau
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack55%55%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gobelins Concarneau
HATHAT
Played86146814
Wins63%0%36%50%25%36%
Draws25%33%29%33%50%43%
Loses13%67%36%17%25%21%

Form: Gobelins: WLWLLLDDDLWWDW • Concarneau: DWDWLLLWWDDWDD

League goals

Metric Gobelins Concarneau
HATHAT
GF total124169615
GF avg1.50.71.11.50.81.1
GA total7111841014
GA avg0.91.81.30.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGobelinsConcarneau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%57%57%
1.529%36%36%21%
2.57%21%14%14%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGobelinsConcarneau
HATHAT
Clean sheets415336
Failed to score033246

Penalties

MetricGobelinsConcarneau
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGobelinsConcarneau
Wins22
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-14-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricGobelinsConcarneau
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h36%64%
Goals30%70%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gobelins or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gobelins = 1.51 (league 1.29), Concarneau = 0.66 (league 1.08)

Concarneau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gobelins 0 11.4% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.2% 11.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 16.3%

vtt 11 , vtd1