National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Fred Aubert
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.31) 1.60 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 24.5% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 2
14.4%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Briochin 0 11.2% 18.0% 14.4% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0%
1 6.6% 10.5% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade BriochinAubagne
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack45%91%
Defense0%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Briochin Aubagne
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%0%7%14%57%36%
Draws29%29%29%71%14%43%
Loses57%71%64%14%29%21%

Form: Stade Briochin: LLDLWDLLLLLDLD • Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Stade Briochin Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total581391120
GF avg0.71.10.91.31.61.4
GA total8192710818
GA avg1.12.71.91.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade BriochinAubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%93%79%79%
1.529%64%36%29%
2.50%29%21%14%
3.50%7%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade BriochinAubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets101033
Failed to score325033

Penalties

MetricStade BriochinAubagne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricStade BriochinAubagne
Wins11
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-11-43-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricStade BriochinAubagne
Form20%80%
Att33%67%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total30.8%69.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aubagne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Briochin = 0.59 (league 1.31), Aubagne = 1.60 (league 1.10)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Briochin 0 11.2% 18.0% 14.4% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0%
1 6.6% 10.5% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 61.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod4