National 1 — France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 18:30 • Stade de Lattre de Tassigny
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.31) 0.91 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 23.0% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gobelins
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 11.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.4% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAubagneGobelins
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack100%75%
Defense0%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aubagne Gobelins
HATHAT
Played78159615
Wins14%63%40%56%0%33%
Draws71%13%40%33%33%33%
Loses14%25%20%11%67%33%

Form: Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDWLWDW • Gobelins: WLWLLLDDDLWWDWD

League goals

Metric Aubagne Gobelins
HATHAT
GF total9142312416
GF avg1.31.81.51.30.71.1
GA total1091971118
GA avg1.41.11.30.81.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAubagneGobelins
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%73%60%
1.540%27%27%33%
2.527%13%7%20%
3.57%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAubagneGobelins
HATHAT
Clean sheets033516
Failed to score033134

Penalties

MetricAubagneGobelins
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAubagneGobelins
Wins12
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-0—
Biggest losses1-43-01-33-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricAubagneGobelins
Form48%52%
Att67%33%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gobelins

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aubagne = 1.79 (league 1.31), Gobelins = 0.91 (league 1.08)

Gobelins
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 11.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.4% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 18.7%

vtt 5 , vtd1