National 1 — France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Auguste-Bonal
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.29) 0.36 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 27.2% 9.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.2%
0 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sochaux 0 17.4% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSochauxChateauroux
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack75%50%
Defense63%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sochaux Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played68148715
Wins67%38%50%13%29%20%
Draws17%25%21%50%57%53%
Loses17%38%29%38%14%27%

Form: Sochaux: WWLWWDLLWDWDLW • Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLDLWLDD

League goals

Metric Sochaux Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total129217916
GF avg2.01.11.50.91.31.1
GA total281012618
GA avg0.31.00.71.50.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSochauxChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%60%67%
1.543%7%40%40%
2.521%7%7%13%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSochauxChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets426235
Failed to score134426

Penalties

MetricSochauxChateauroux
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSochauxChateauroux
Wins21
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-10-32-1
Goals For5323
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricSochauxChateauroux
Form62%38%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sochaux or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Dafabet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away5.38 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sochaux = 1.39 (league 1.29), Chateauroux = 0.36 (league 1.08)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sochaux 0 17.4% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 9.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1