National 1 — France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 18:30 • Stade du Hainaut
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.29) 0.91 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 29.5% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenciennes 0 12.2% 11.1% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.3% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenciennesBourg-en-bresse 01
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack63%50%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valenciennes Bourg-en-bresse 01
HATHAT
Played77147815
Wins57%0%29%0%25%13%
Draws0%57%29%29%25%27%
Loses43%43%43%71%50%60%

Form: Valenciennes: DWLLLWDWLDWDLL • Bourg-en-bresse 01: DLDDLLLLWDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Valenciennes Bourg-en-bresse 01
HATHAT
GF total105154711
GF avg1.40.71.10.60.90.7
GA total8101813922
GA avg1.11.41.31.91.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenciennesBourg-en-bresse 01
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%53%87%
1.529%43%20%47%
2.50%14%0%13%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenciennesBourg-en-bresse 01
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score123437

Penalties

MetricValenciennesBourg-en-bresse 01
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricValenciennesBourg-en-bresse 01
Wins11
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——1-2
Biggest losses0-24-10-32-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricValenciennesBourg-en-bresse 01
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total55.7%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Valenciennes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Dafabet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away4.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valenciennes = 1.19 (league 1.29), Bourg-en-bresse 01 = 0.91 (league 1.08)

Bourg-en-bresse 01
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenciennes 0 12.2% 11.1% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.3% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1