National 1 — France
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Marcel-Verchere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.31) 1.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 19.2% 72.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 2
17.9%
0 - 3
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 9.8% 18.7% 17.9% 11.4% 5.4% 2.1%
1 4.0% 7.7% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
2 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Chateauroux
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack33%33%
Defense25%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bourg-en-bresse 01 Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins0%22%13%13%25%19%
Draws29%22%25%50%50%50%
Loses71%56%63%38%25%31%

Form: Bourg-en-bresse 01: DLDDLLLLWDLLLLWL • Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLDLWLDDL

League goals

Metric Bourg-en-bresse 01 Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total48127916
GF avg0.60.90.80.91.11.0
GA total13122512719
GA avg1.91.31.61.50.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBourg-en-bresse 01Chateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%88%56%69%
1.519%50%38%38%
2.50%19%6%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Chateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score437437

Penalties

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Chateauroux
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Chateauroux
Wins11
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-32-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Chateauroux
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total35.7%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chateauroux

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Dafabet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bourg-en-bresse 01 = 0.41 (league 1.31), Chateauroux = 1.91 (league 1.09)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 9.8% 18.7% 17.9% 11.4% 5.4% 2.1%
1 4.0% 7.7% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
2 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 72.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1