National 1 — France
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 17:00 • Stade Armand Chouffet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.31) 1.83 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.7% 22.7% 57.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 1
10.8%
0 - 2
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 6.4% 11.7% 10.7% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.7% 5.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillefrancheAubagne
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack42%83%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villefranche Aubagne
HATHAT
Played97168816
Wins44%0%25%13%63%38%
Draws22%14%19%75%13%44%
Loses33%86%56%13%25%19%

Form: Villefranche: DLWLDWLWLLLLWLDL • Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Villefranche Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total10313101424
GF avg1.10.40.81.31.81.5
GA total10132311920
GA avg1.11.91.41.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillefrancheAubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%81%81%81%
1.519%44%38%25%
2.56%19%25%13%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillefrancheAubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets213033
Failed to score347033

Penalties

MetricVillefrancheAubagne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricVillefrancheAubagne
Wins11
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-43-0
Goals For3134
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricVillefrancheAubagne
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h33%67%
Goals38%63%
Total38.7%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aubagne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.29 @ Pinnacle
Away2.85 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villefranche = 0.92 (league 1.31), Aubagne = 1.83 (league 1.08)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 6.4% 11.7% 10.7% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.7% 5.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 57.5%

vtt 25 , vtd6