National 1 — France
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Michel d'Ornano
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.31) 0.32 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 54.0% 19.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
47.3%
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fleury 91
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 47.3% 15.2% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.2% 6.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaenFleury 91
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack60%70%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caen Fleury 91
HATHAT
Played99188917
Wins33%11%22%38%44%41%
Draws56%56%56%38%33%35%
Loses11%33%22%25%22%24%

Form: Caen: WDLWDDDLWLDDDWDDDL • Fleury 91: DWLLWWLDDDWDWDLWW

League goals

Metric Caen Fleury 91
HATHAT
GF total7121991120
GF avg0.81.31.11.11.21.2
GA total314175611
GA avg0.31.60.90.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaenFleury 91
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%61%65%41%
1.522%28%29%24%
2.511%6%18%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaenFleury 91
HATHAT
Clean sheets7075510
Failed to score505426

Penalties

MetricCaenFleury 91
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCaenFleury 91
Wins12
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-10-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-22-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricCaenFleury 91
Form38%63%
Att46%54%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total45.6%54.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Caen or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away3.90 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Caen = 0.43 (league 1.31), Fleury 91 = 0.32 (league 1.12)

Fleury 91
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 47.3% 15.2% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.2% 6.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 54.0% · Away win 19.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1