National 1 — France
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Guy Piriou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.32) 1.54 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 24.6% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 5.5% 8.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.4% 11.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConcarneauAubagne
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack50%100%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Concarneau Aubagne
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins38%22%29%13%56%35%
Draws38%56%47%75%11%41%
Loses25%22%24%13%33%24%

Form: Concarneau: DWDWLLLWWDDWDDDDL • Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDWLWDWDL

League goals

Metric Concarneau Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total12618101525
GF avg1.50.71.11.31.71.5
GA total81018111122
GA avg1.01.11.11.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConcarneauAubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%59%82%82%
1.535%24%35%29%
2.518%18%24%12%
3.50%6%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConcarneauAubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets347033
Failed to score358033

Penalties

MetricConcarneauAubagne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricConcarneauAubagne
Wins21
Draws42
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-14-01-43-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricConcarneauAubagne
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Concarneau or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Dafabet
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Concarneau = 1.36 (league 1.32), Aubagne = 1.54 (league 1.10)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 5.5% 8.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.4% 11.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 41.2%

vtt 7 , vtd1