National 1 — France
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 18:30 • Stade de la Source
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.32) 1.38 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 26.6% 41.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orleans 0 7.9% 10.9% 7.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.2% 12.6% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrleansChateauroux
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack50%10%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orleans Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%44%50%11%22%17%
Draws11%11%11%44%56%50%
Loses33%44%39%44%22%33%

Form: Orleans: LLWWDWLWDWWLLWWLLW • Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLDLWLDDLDL

League goals

Metric Orleans Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total1572271017
GF avg1.70.81.20.81.10.9
GA total13152814822
GA avg1.41.71.61.60.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrleansChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%72%56%72%
1.539%44%33%39%
2.56%22%6%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrleansChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score044538

Penalties

MetricOrleansChateauroux
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOrleansChateauroux
Wins21
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-10-3
Biggest losses2-45-00-32-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4532

Model comparison

MetricOrleansChateauroux
Form75%25%
Att83%17%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Orleans or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ SBO
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away4.40 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orleans = 1.16 (league 1.32), Chateauroux = 1.38 (league 1.12)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orleans 0 7.9% 10.9% 7.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.2% 12.6% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 41.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1