National 1 — France
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Robert Diochon
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.32) 0.22 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 25.2% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.3%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rouen 0 18.8% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.3% 6.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRouenValenciennes
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack60%40%
Defense70%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rouen Valenciennes
HATHAT
Played108189817
Wins60%50%56%56%0%29%
Draws30%50%39%0%50%24%
Loses10%0%6%44%50%47%

Form: Rouen: DDWWLWWWWWDWDDWWDD • Valenciennes: DWLLLWDWLDWDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Rouen Valenciennes
HATHAT
GF total12142613518
GF avg1.21.81.41.40.61.1
GA total4711101323
GA avg0.40.90.61.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRouenValenciennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%71%71%
1.533%11%29%41%
2.528%0%6%18%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRouenValenciennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets729325
Failed to score303235

Penalties

MetricRouenValenciennes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricRouenValenciennes
Wins51
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-1—
Biggest losses1-2—0-24-1
Goals For3331
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricRouenValenciennes
Form75%25%
Att60%40%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h67%33%
Goals56%44%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Double chance : Rouen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ William Hill
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rouen = 1.46 (league 1.32), Valenciennes = 0.22 (league 1.10)

Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rouen 0 18.8% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.3% 6.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 5.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1