National 1 — France
Fri, Feb 13 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Gaston Petit
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.29) 2.54 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.1% 13.6% 75.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 3
12.3%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rouen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 4.5% 11.4% 14.5% 12.3% 7.8% 4.0%
1 2.5% 6.4% 8.1% 6.9% 4.4% 2.2%
2 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChateaurouxRouen
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack21%43%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chateauroux Rouen
HATHAT
Played9101911819
Wins11%20%16%55%50%53%
Draws44%60%53%27%50%37%
Loses44%20%32%18%0%11%
ChateaurouxDDDLWDDWLDLWLDDLDLD
RouenDDWWLWWWWWDWDDWWDDL

League goals

Metric Chateauroux Rouen
HATHAT
GF total71219131427
GF avg0.81.21.01.21.81.4
GA total1410246713
GA avg1.61.01.30.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChateaurouxRouen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%74%84%53%
1.537%42%32%16%
2.55%11%26%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChateaurouxRouen
HATHAT
Clean sheets235729
Failed to score538303

Penalties

MetricChateaurouxRouen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricChateaurouxRouen
Wins15
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-11-2—
Goals For2333
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricChateaurouxRouen
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h50%50%
Goals31%69%
Total33.2%66.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away2.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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