National 1 — France
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Fred-Aubert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31) 1.89 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 21.5% 62.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
0 - 2
12.7%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Briochin 0 7.1% 13.4% 12.7% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.4% 10.1% 9.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1%
2 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade BriochinChateauroux
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack67%42%
Defense8%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Briochin Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins9%8%9%8%18%13%
Draws27%42%35%33%64%48%
Loses64%50%57%58%18%39%

Form: Stade Briochin: LLDLWDLLLLLDLDLDDDWLDLL • Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLDLWLDDLDLDLLDL

League goals

Metric Stade Briochin Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total10132381422
GF avg0.91.11.00.71.31.0
GA total182442181230
GA avg1.62.01.81.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade BriochinChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%87%57%78%
1.530%57%35%43%
2.50%35%4%9%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade BriochinChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score3477310

Penalties

MetricStade BriochinChateauroux
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricStade BriochinChateauroux
Wins11
Draws33
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-10-32-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricStade BriochinChateauroux
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h75%25%
Goals62%38%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Stade Briochin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stade Briochin = 0.76 (league 1.31), Chateauroux = 1.89 (league 1.10)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Briochin 0 7.1% 13.4% 12.7% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.4% 10.1% 9.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1%
2 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 62.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1