National 1 — France
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Armand Chouffet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.32) 0.80 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 27.9% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 11.5% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.7% 12.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillefrancheValenciennes
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack47%40%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villefranche Valenciennes
HATHAT
Played121022111021
Wins50%10%32%55%10%33%
Draws17%20%18%0%50%24%
Loses33%70%50%45%40%43%

Form: Villefranche: DLWLDWLWLLLLWLDLWWWDLL • Valenciennes: DWLLLWDWLDWDLLWLLWLDW

League goals

Metric Villefranche Valenciennes
HATHAT
GF total1482216824
GF avg1.20.81.01.50.81.1
GA total131831131528
GA avg1.11.81.41.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillefrancheValenciennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%82%76%76%
1.527%45%33%38%
2.55%14%5%14%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillefrancheValenciennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score347235

Penalties

MetricVillefrancheValenciennes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricVillefrancheValenciennes
Wins31
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-24-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricVillefrancheValenciennes
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h9%91%
Goals17%83%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Valenciennes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.37 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villefranche = 1.36 (league 1.32), Valenciennes = 0.80 (league 1.10)

Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villefranche 0 11.5% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.7% 12.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 21.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1