National 1 — France
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Gaston Petit
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.32) 1.09 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 30.3% 38.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Villefranche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 12.9% 14.1% 7.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChateaurouxVillefranche
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack31%44%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chateauroux Villefranche
HATHAT
Played111122131023
Wins9%18%14%46%10%30%
Draws36%64%50%15%20%17%
Loses55%18%36%38%70%52%

Form: Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLDLWLDDLDLDLLD • Villefranche: DLWLDWLWLLLLWLDLWWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Chateauroux Villefranche
HATHAT
GF total8142216824
GF avg0.71.31.01.20.81.0
GA total171229161834
GA avg1.51.11.31.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChateaurouxVillefranche
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%77%70%83%
1.536%45%30%48%
2.55%9%4%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChateaurouxVillefranche
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score639347

Penalties

MetricChateaurouxVillefranche
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricChateaurouxVillefranche
Wins13
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-33-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricChateaurouxVillefranche
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villefranche

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chateauroux = 0.96 (league 1.32), Villefranche = 1.09 (league 1.10)

Villefranche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chateauroux 0 12.9% 14.1% 7.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 38.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1