National 1 — France
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Guy Piriou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.31) 0.90 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 26.3% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 9.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 12.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConcarneauValenciennes
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack55%82%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Concarneau Valenciennes
HATHAT
Played111223111122
Wins36%25%30%55%18%36%
Draws36%42%39%0%45%23%
Loses27%33%30%45%36%41%

Form: Concarneau: DWDWLLLWWDDWDDDDLWLLWDL • Valenciennes: DWLLLWDWLDWDLLWLLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Concarneau Valenciennes
HATHAT
GF total141125161127
GF avg1.30.91.11.51.01.2
GA total111425131730
GA avg1.01.21.11.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConcarneauValenciennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%61%77%77%
1.530%30%36%41%
2.517%13%9%14%
3.54%4%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConcarneauValenciennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets459325
Failed to score4610235

Penalties

MetricConcarneauValenciennes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricConcarneauValenciennes
Wins21
Draws41
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-12-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-24-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricConcarneauValenciennes
Form29%71%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h85%15%
Goals62%38%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Concarneau or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ BetVictor
Away3.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Concarneau = 1.48 (league 1.31), Valenciennes = 0.90 (league 1.12)

Valenciennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 9.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 12.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1