National 1 — France
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 17:30 • Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.32) 1.63 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 24.7% 51.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 7.2% 11.8% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.6% 5.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAubagneChateauroux
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack60%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aubagne Chateauroux
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins17%38%28%15%17%16%
Draws50%15%32%31%58%44%
Loses33%46%40%54%25%40%

Form: Aubagne: LWDDWDWDLDWLWDWDLLWLLLLLD • Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWLDLWLDDLDLDLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Aubagne Chateauroux
HATHAT
GF total131629111425
GF avg1.11.21.20.81.21.0
GA total181735191433
GA avg1.51.31.41.51.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAubagneChateauroux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%80%56%80%
1.524%36%36%44%
2.516%16%8%8%
3.54%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAubagneChateauroux
HATHAT
Clean sheets145235
Failed to score1677411

Penalties

MetricAubagneChateauroux
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAubagneChateauroux
Wins11
Draws23
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-43-00-32-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricAubagneChateauroux
Form20%80%
Att38%63%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total43.4%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chateauroux

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betfair
Draw3.40 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aubagne = 1.00 (league 1.32), Chateauroux = 1.63 (league 1.10)

Chateauroux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aubagne 0 7.2% 11.8% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.6% 5.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 51.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1