National 1
— France
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:30 •
Stade Auguste Bonal
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.29)
0.31 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.9% | 17.6% | 5.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
2 - 0
19.8%
3 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sochaux | 0 | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.8% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sochaux carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 177 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sochaux +6.2, Bourg-en-bresse 01 -20.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sochaux
vs
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Elo gapSochaux +177
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3024.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3024.2
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1582.9 | 1441.3 |
| Form Elo | 1593.7 | 1425.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1514.4 | 1486.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1598.7 | 1378 |
| Defense Elo | 1606.2 | 1466.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.2 | -20.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sochaux last-5 Elo change: +6.2; Bourg-en-bresse 01 last-5 Elo change: -20.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 80% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 62% | 43% | 52% | 21% | 20% | 21% |
| Draws | 31% | 29% | 30% | 29% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 8% | 29% | 19% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
SochauxWWLWWDLLWDWDLWWWDDDWWWWWLDD
Bourg-en-bresse 01DLDDLLLLWDLLLLWLDWWLLDWLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 19 | 42 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 63% | 55% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 7% | 17% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 4% | 3% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sochaux | Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away7.09 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.66 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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