Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:00 • TOT Stadium Chaeng Wattana
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.64) 0.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 25.8% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chiangmai United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 10.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolice TeroChiangmai United
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack29%36%
Defense71%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Tero Chiangmai United
HATHAT
Played145325
Wins100%50%60%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses0%50%40%33%100%60%

Form: Police Tero: WLWLW • Chiangmai United: DLWLL

League goals

Metric Police Tero Chiangmai United
HATHAT
GF total134325
GF avg1.00.80.81.01.01.0
GA total044459
GA avg0.01.00.81.32.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolice TeroChiangmai United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%80%100%
1.520%20%20%60%
2.50%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolice TeroChiangmai United
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricPolice TeroChiangmai United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPolice TeroChiangmai United
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-1—
Biggest losses—3-00-23-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against0323

Model comparison

MetricPolice TeroChiangmai United
Form69%31%
Att44%56%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Police Tero or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police Tero = 1.53 (league 1.64), Chiangmai United = 0.70 (league 1.15)

Chiangmai United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 10.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1