Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:30 •
Pitchaya Stadium
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.69)
1.86 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8% | 22.4% | 57.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 1
10.6%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Phrae United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 0 | 6.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 78% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Nong Bua Pitchaya: LDWLWL • Phrae United: WWWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Phrae United
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ 1xBet
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away2.84 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.03 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Marathonbet
No2.23 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nong Bua Pitchaya = 0.95 (league 1.69), Phrae United = 1.86 (league 1.19)
| Phrae United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 0 | 6.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 57.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
