Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.67)
1.94 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
home | draw | away |
18.2% |
21.7% |
58.6% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Phrae United |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Nong Bua Pitchaya |
0 |
5.5% |
10.7% |
10.3% |
6.7% |
3.2% |
1.2% |
1 |
5.3% |
10.3% |
9.9% |
6.4% |
3.1% |
1.2% |
2 |
2.6% |
4.9% |
4.8% |
3.1% |
1.5% |
0.6% |
3 |
0.8% |
1.6% |
1.5% |
1.0% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
4 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
5 |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
Played | 5 | 5 |
Form | 47% | 73% |
Attack | 78% | 100% |
Defense | 0% | 44% |
Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
Metric |
Nong Bua Pitchaya |
Phrae United |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Nong Bua Pitchaya: LDWLWL • Phrae United: WWWWDD
League goals
Metric |
Nong Bua Pitchaya |
Phrae United |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
GF avg | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
Line | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
| For | Against | For | Against |
0.5 | 67% | 100% | 83% | 67% |
1.5 | 67% | 67% | 50% | 17% |
2.5 | 17% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
Wins | 1 | 4 |
Draws | 1 | 0 |
Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
Metric | H | A | H | A |
Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 3-1 | 2-3 |
Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Phrae United |
---|
Form | 39% | 61% |
Att | 41% | 59% |
Def | 36% | 64% |
Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
H2h | 75% | 25% |
Goals | 54% | 46% |
Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Phrae United
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ 1xBet
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away2.84 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.03 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Marathonbet
No2.23 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
Marathonbet
Updated: 2025-09-26T14:47:13+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.18 |
Draw |
3.42 |
Away |
2.79 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.52 |
Draw |
2.54 |
Away |
3.05 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
Selection | Odds |
Home -1.25 |
3.68 |
Away -1.25 |
1.21 |
Home -1 |
3.28 |
Away -1 |
1.27 |
Home -0.75 |
2.55 |
Away -0.75 |
1.44 |
Home -0.25 |
1.92 |
Away -0.25 |
1.79 |
Home +0 |
1.65 |
Away +0 |
2.11 |
Home +0.25 |
1.49 |
Away +0.25 |
2.44 |
Home +0.75 |
1.26 |
Away +0.75 |
3.42 |
Home -2 |
7.40 |
Away -2 |
1.03 |
Home +1 |
1.13 |
Away +1 |
4.80 |
Home -1.5 |
4.05 |
Away -1.5 |
1.17 |
Home +1.5 |
1.08 |
Away +1.5 |
5.50 |
Home -2.5 |
8.10 |
Away -2.5 |
1.02 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.19 |
Under 1.5 |
3.80 |
Over 1.75 |
1.23 |
Under 1.75 |
3.42 |
Over 2.0 |
1.30 |
Under 2.0 |
2.97 |
Over 2.25 |
1.48 |
Under 2.25 |
2.33 |
Over 2.5 |
1.69 |
Under 2.5 |
2.03 |
Over 2.75 |
1.83 |
Under 2.75 |
1.79 |
Over 3.5 |
2.66 |
Under 3.5 |
1.37 |
Over 1.0 |
1.00 |
Under 1.0 |
9.10 |
Over 3.0 |
2.12 |
Under 3.0 |
1.58 |
Over 3.25 |
2.38 |
Under 3.25 |
1.46 |
Over 3.75 |
3.14 |
Under 3.75 |
1.27 |
Over 4.0 |
4.15 |
Under 4.0 |
1.16 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.46 |
Under 1.5 |
1.46 |
Over 0.5 |
1.31 |
Under 0.5 |
3.04 |
Over 1.0 |
1.66 |
Under 1.0 |
2.09 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.92 |
Under 1.5 |
1.79 |
Over 2.0 |
2.92 |
Under 2.0 |
1.33 |
Over 1.0 |
1.32 |
Under 1.0 |
2.99 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
Selection | Odds |
Yes |
1.57 |
No |
2.19 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
Selection | Odds |
Home -1 |
4.05 |
Away -1 |
1.54 |
Draw -1 |
3.88 |
Home +1 |
1.33 |
Draw +1 |
4.45 |
Away +1 |
5.50 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
1.33 |
Home/Away |
1.23 |
Draw/Away |
1.54 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.72 |
Draw |
2.20 |
Away |
3.40 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
Selection | Odds |
Home |
1.79 |
Draw |
13.50 |
Away |
2.07 |
Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last
Selection | Odds |
Home |
1.80 |
Draw |
13.50 |
Away |
2.06 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.98 |
Under 1.5 |
1.70 |
Over 1 |
1.35 |
Under 1 |
2.79 |
Over 2 |
3.14 |
Under 2 |
1.28 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.29 |
Under 1.5 |
1.51 |
Over 1 |
1.55 |
Under 1 |
2.23 |
Over 2 |
4.15 |
Under 2 |
1.16 |
1xBet
Updated: 2025-09-26T14:47:13+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.20 |
Draw |
3.42 |
Away |
2.84 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.54 |
Draw |
2.54 |
Away |
3.14 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
Selection | Odds |
Home -1.25 |
3.68 |
Away -1.25 |
1.21 |
Home -1 |
3.28 |
Away -1 |
1.27 |
Home -0.75 |
2.55 |
Away -0.75 |
1.44 |
Home -0.25 |
1.92 |
Away -0.25 |
1.79 |
Home +0 |
1.65 |
Away +0 |
2.11 |
Home +0.25 |
1.49 |
Away +0.25 |
2.44 |
Home +0.75 |
1.26 |
Away +0.75 |
3.42 |
Home -2 |
7.40 |
Away -2 |
1.03 |
Home +1 |
1.13 |
Away +1 |
4.80 |
Home -1.5 |
4.05 |
Away -1.5 |
1.17 |
Home +1.5 |
1.08 |
Away +1.5 |
5.50 |
Home -2.5 |
8.10 |
Away -2.5 |
1.02 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.19 |
Under 1.5 |
3.80 |
Over 1.75 |
1.23 |
Under 1.75 |
3.42 |
Over 2.0 |
1.30 |
Under 2.0 |
2.97 |
Over 2.25 |
1.48 |
Under 2.25 |
2.33 |
Over 2.5 |
1.69 |
Under 2.5 |
2.03 |
Over 2.75 |
1.83 |
Under 2.75 |
1.79 |
Over 3.5 |
2.66 |
Under 3.5 |
1.37 |
Over 1.0 |
1.00 |
Under 1.0 |
9.10 |
Over 3.0 |
2.12 |
Under 3.0 |
1.58 |
Over 4.5 |
4.70 |
Under 4.5 |
1.15 |
Over 3.25 |
2.38 |
Under 3.25 |
1.46 |
Over 3.75 |
3.14 |
Under 3.75 |
1.27 |
Over 4.0 |
4.15 |
Under 4.0 |
1.16 |
Over 5.5 |
7.85 |
Under 5.5 |
1.05 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.46 |
Under 1.5 |
1.46 |
Over 2.5 |
5.30 |
Under 2.5 |
1.12 |
Over 0.5 |
1.31 |
Under 0.5 |
3.04 |
Over 0.75 |
1.43 |
Under 0.75 |
2.59 |
Over 1.0 |
1.66 |
Under 1.0 |
2.09 |
Over 1.25 |
2.07 |
Under 1.25 |
1.66 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.92 |
Under 1.5 |
1.79 |
Over 1.75 |
2.25 |
Under 1.75 |
1.56 |
Over 2.0 |
2.92 |
Under 2.0 |
1.33 |
Over 2.5 |
3.60 |
Under 2.5 |
1.24 |
Over 0.5 |
1.18 |
Under 0.5 |
4.30 |
Over 1.0 |
1.32 |
Under 1.0 |
2.99 |
Over 1.25 |
1.63 |
Under 1.25 |
2.12 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
15.50 |
Home/Away |
26.00 |
Draw/Away |
7.10 |
Draw/Draw |
5.30 |
Home/Home |
3.60 |
Draw/Home |
5.80 |
Away/Home |
22.00 |
Away/Draw |
15.50 |
Away/Away |
4.70 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
Selection | Odds |
Yes |
1.57 |
No |
2.23 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
Selection | Odds |
1:0 |
6.20 |
2:0 |
7.80 |
2:1 |
5.80 |
3:0 |
14.00 |
3:1 |
11.00 |
3:2 |
15.00 |
4:0 |
35.00 |
4:1 |
26.00 |
0:0 |
8.40 |
1:1 |
4.40 |
2:2 |
7.60 |
0:1 |
7.20 |
0:2 |
10.00 |
0:3 |
23.00 |
1:2 |
6.80 |
1:3 |
14.00 |
2:3 |
18.00 |
3:3 |
30.00 |
0:4 |
70.00 |
1:4 |
40.00 |
2:4 |
50.00 |
4:2 |
40.00 |
0:5 |
100.00 |
0:6 |
100.00 |
1:5 |
100.00 |
1:6 |
100.00 |
2:5 |
100.00 |
2:6 |
100.00 |
3:4 |
100.00 |
5:0 |
100.00 |
5:1 |
80.00 |
5:2 |
100.00 |
6:0 |
100.00 |
6:1 |
100.00 |
6:2 |
100.00 |
4:3 |
100.00 |
3:5 |
100.00 |
3:6 |
100.00 |
4:5 |
100.00 |
4:6 |
100.00 |
5:3 |
100.00 |
5:4 |
100.00 |
5:6 |
100.00 |
6:3 |
100.00 |
6:4 |
100.00 |
6:5 |
100.00 |
4:4 |
100.00 |
7:0 |
100.00 |
7:1 |
100.00 |
7:2 |
100.00 |
7:3 |
100.00 |
7:4 |
100.00 |
7:5 |
100.00 |
7:6 |
100.00 |
8:0 |
100.00 |
8:1 |
100.00 |
8:2 |
100.00 |
8:3 |
100.00 |
8:4 |
100.00 |
8:5 |
100.00 |
8:6 |
100.00 |
8:7 |
100.00 |
9:0 |
100.00 |
9:1 |
100.00 |
9:2 |
100.00 |
9:3 |
100.00 |
9:4 |
100.00 |
9:5 |
100.00 |
9:6 |
100.00 |
9:7 |
100.00 |
9:8 |
100.00 |
10:0 |
100.00 |
10:1 |
100.00 |
10:2 |
100.00 |
10:3 |
100.00 |
10:4 |
100.00 |
10:5 |
100.00 |
10:6 |
100.00 |
10:7 |
100.00 |
10:8 |
100.00 |
10:9 |
100.00 |
5:5 |
100.00 |
6:6 |
100.00 |
7:7 |
100.00 |
8:8 |
100.00 |
9:9 |
100.00 |
10:10 |
100.00 |
0:7 |
100.00 |
0:8 |
100.00 |
0:9 |
100.00 |
0:10 |
100.00 |
1:7 |
100.00 |
1:8 |
100.00 |
1:9 |
100.00 |
1:10 |
100.00 |
2:7 |
100.00 |
2:8 |
100.00 |
2:9 |
100.00 |
2:10 |
100.00 |
3:7 |
100.00 |
3:8 |
100.00 |
3:9 |
100.00 |
3:10 |
100.00 |
4:7 |
100.00 |
4:8 |
100.00 |
4:9 |
100.00 |
4:10 |
100.00 |
5:7 |
100.00 |
5:8 |
100.00 |
5:9 |
100.00 |
5:10 |
100.00 |
6:7 |
100.00 |
6:8 |
100.00 |
6:9 |
100.00 |
6:10 |
100.00 |
7:8 |
100.00 |
7:9 |
100.00 |
7:10 |
100.00 |
8:9 |
100.00 |
8:10 |
100.00 |
9:10 |
100.00 |
Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half
Selection | Odds |
Draw |
3.60 |
1st Half |
2.97 |
2nd Half |
2.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
1.33 |
Home/Away |
1.23 |
Draw/Away |
1.54 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
Selection | Odds |
Home |
2.74 |
Draw |
2.20 |
Away |
3.51 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
1.98 |
Under 1.5 |
1.70 |
Over 1 |
1.35 |
Under 1 |
2.79 |
Over 2 |
3.14 |
Under 2 |
1.28 |
Over 0.5 |
1.18 |
Under 0.5 |
4.05 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
Selection | Odds |
Over 1.5 |
2.29 |
Under 1.5 |
1.51 |
Over 1 |
1.55 |
Under 1 |
2.23 |
Over 2 |
4.15 |
Under 2 |
1.16 |
Over 0.5 |
1.27 |
Under 0.5 |
3.28 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
Selection | Odds |
Home -1 |
6.25 |
Away -1 |
1.06 |
Home -0.25 |
2.21 |
Away -0.25 |
1.56 |
Home +0 |
1.68 |
Away +0 |
2.01 |
Home +0.25 |
1.40 |
Away +0.25 |
2.64 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
1.22 |
Home/Away |
1.51 |
Draw/Away |
1.34 |
Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
Home/Draw |
1.27 |
Home/Away |
1.39 |
Draw/Away |
1.39 |
Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half
Selection | Odds |
Yes |
3.65 |
No |
1.23 |
Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
Yes |
2.84 |
No |
1.36 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
Selection | Odds |
Odd |
1.83 |
Even |
1.83 |
Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half
Selection | Odds |
Odd |
1.97 |
Even |
1.71 |
Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even
Selection | Odds |
Odd |
1.90 |
Even |
1.77 |
Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even
Selection | Odds |
Odd |
1.94 |
Even |
1.73 |
Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)
Selection | Odds |
Home -1 |
4.90 |
Away -1 |
1.11 |
Home -0.25 |
2.09 |
Away -0.25 |
1.63 |
Home +0 |
1.67 |
Away +0 |
2.02 |
Home +0.25 |
1.44 |
Away +0.25 |
2.51 |
Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)
Selection | Odds |
Over 0.5 |
1.83 |
Under 0.5 |
1.83 |
Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)
Selection | Odds |
Over 0.5 |
2.03 |
Under 0.5 |
1.67 |
Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)
Selection | Odds |
Over 0.5 |
1.59 |
Under 0.5 |
2.15 |
Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)
Selection | Odds |
Over 0.5 |
1.74 |
Under 0.5 |
1.93 |
Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half
Selection | Odds |
Odd |
1.90 |
Even |
1.77 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
Nong Bua Pitchaya = 0.96 (league 1.67),
Phrae United = 1.94 (league 1.14)
|
|
Phrae United |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Nong Bua Pitchaya |
0 |
5.5% |
10.7% |
10.3% |
6.7% |
3.2% |
1.2% |
1 |
5.3% |
10.3% |
9.9% |
6.4% |
3.1% |
1.2% |
2 |
2.6% |
4.9% |
4.8% |
3.1% |
1.5% |
0.6% |
3 |
0.8% |
1.6% |
1.5% |
1.0% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
4 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
5 |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 18.2% ·
Draw 21.7% ·
Away win 58.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1