Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 • Boonyachinda Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.67) 0.74 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 42.2% 40.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.2%
0 - 1
24.0%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nakhon Pathom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 32.2% 24.0% 8.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.5% 9.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Pathom
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack31%38%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Tero Nakhon Pathom
HATHAT
Played257437
Wins50%40%43%25%33%29%
Draws0%0%0%25%33%29%
Loses50%60%57%50%33%43%

Form: Police Tero: WLWLWLL • Nakhon Pathom: LLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Police Tero Nakhon Pathom
HATHAT
GF total145156
GF avg0.50.80.70.31.70.9
GA total167246
GA avg0.51.21.00.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolice TeroNakhon Pathom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%57%71%
1.514%29%14%14%
2.50%14%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Pathom
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score123303

Penalties

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Pathom
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Pathom
Wins12
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-12-1
Goals For1213
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Pathom
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h88%13%
Goals63%38%
Total51.5%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Police Tero or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away3.15 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.83 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police Tero = 0.39 (league 1.67), Nakhon Pathom = 0.74 (league 1.14)

Nakhon Pathom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 32.2% 24.0% 8.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.5% 9.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 40.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1